2024 elections : Bawumia will suffer in Ashanti Region because of Alan – survey

FUSEINI SAFIANU

The Executive Director for Global Info Analytics, Mussa Dankwah has revealed that the results of polls by his outfit show former leading member of the New Patriotic Party (NPP), Alan Kyerematen is making the party weaker ahead of the 2024 election.

Alan Kyerematen, a former Minister for Trade and Industry last year resigned from the NPP after his failed attempt to become the flagbearer of the ruling party.

According to Mussa Dankwah, polls by Global Info Analytics show Alan has been able to break the front of the NPP.

Speaking to Starr FM, he said the gains the former Trade Minister is making in his quest for president as an Independent Candidate are affecting the ruling party.

“As a pollster, I wish we have a four-party system where nobody can control this country and take it for granted. But the numbers we are seeing are not showing that radical departure from what we are used to.

“Although Alan is making an impact, the question is who is he affecting with his performance? If Alan was able to break the front of NDC that would be a good thing for him to have but at the moment he is not able to break the front of NDC. Whatever gains he is making it is coming largely from the NPP which is making NPP weaker at the minute in the polls,” Mussa Dankwah.

Read the full statement below :

Skirt and Blouse and the Effect of Afrafranto in the Ashanti Region according the December 2024 national poll:

A closer look at the December 2023 national poll from “Skirt-and-Blouse” perspective reveals further insights into the 2024 race from the Ashanti region.

The data reveals deepening crisis for the NPP in the region as the proportion of voters intending to vote “skirt-and-blouse” is far higher in the region than the national average, thus providing more evidence why JDM led in the December poll in the region.

More NPP voters are voting for NPP parliamentary candidates but not following through to vote for Dr Bawumia. Although Global InfoAnalytcics classified Ashanti poll as an outlier, this revelation may weaken that assertion if this trend continues.

While nationally, 77% of voters who intend to vote for NPP parliamentary candidates also intend to vote for DMB, in the Ashanti region, it is only 73%.

Again, while 12% of voters intending to vote for NPP parliamentary candidates intend to vote for JDM nationally, in the Ashanti region, it is 19%, an increase 7% compared to national average.

For the effect of Afrafranto on NPP in the Ashanti region with regards to NPP voter who intend to vote for NPP parliamentary candidates in the December elections, while 8% intend to vote for AKK nationally, in the Ashanti region, the figure is lower, 5%. However, for voters who intend to vote for other candidates, nationally, 60% of those intend to vote for AKK but in the Ashanti region, it is 74%.

This data confirms the theory that Afrafranto may not be planning to field candidates in the parliamentary elections against the NPP but rather work with the NPP MPs if he wins the election.

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